ID do Resumo: 715
Does the disturbance hypothesis explain biomass increase results found in basin-wide Amazon forest plot data?
In 1998 Phillips et al. reported positive large-scale above-ground
biomass trends in old-growth forests across the Amazon basin, thought to
reflect a large-scale response to exterior forcing. Their finding has
been criticized as being an artefact due to an inherent sampling bias
induced by the nature of forest growth dynamics. Here we characterize
statistically the disturbance process in Amazon old-growth forests as
recorded by the RAINFOR forest plot census network and independent
research programs (135 plots) and then explore its consequences using a
simple purely data-based stochastic simulator. Over the observed range
annual above-ground biomass losses follow an exponential probability
distribution possibly tending to a power law for largest events.
Simulator results reveal skewed biomass gains distributions for short
periods. Nevertheless sampling biases are too small to explain the gains
detected by the extended RAINFOR plot network. The results thus lend
further support that basin-wide net biomass gains are real.
Sessão: Biodiversidade - Redes de parcelas permanentes para inventários de biodiversidade e estoques de carbono: integrando metas taxonômicas e de ecosistema.
Tipo de Apresentação: Oral
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